predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jai Herbert
14-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Khama Worthy
16-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Jai Herbert def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:47
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
74"
38
Age
39
3.19
SLpM
4.18
41%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.34
SApM
4.45
52%
Str. Def.
46%
0.42
TD Avg.
0.00
66%
TD Def.
57%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jai Herbert
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jai Herbert
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jai Herbert finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)
Khama Worthy finishes 25% · finished 75% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.