predicted sports
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Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Aleksei Oleinik
60-17-1 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Derrick Lewis def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:21
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
80"
41
Age
49
2.41
SLpM
3.29
48%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.79
SApM
3.80
38%
Str. Def.
44%
0.53
TD Avg.
1.82
51%
TD Def.
37%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Aleksei Oleinik
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When older than opponent 20% (1-4)
As the rating underdog 20% (1-4)
Vs orthodox 20% (1-4)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.