predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Khama Worthy
16-9 · Orthodox
vs
Luis Pena
9-3 · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Khama Worthy def.
SUB · R3 2:53
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
75"
39
Age
32
4.18
SLpM
3.66
48%
Str. Acc.
46%
4.45
SApM
3.12
46%
Str. Def.
51%
0.00
TD Avg.
1.17
57%
TD Def.
48%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Luis Pena
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Luis Pena
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Luis Pena
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Khama Worthy finishes 25% · finished 75% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Luis Pena finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.