predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Francisco Trinaldo
28-9 · Southpaw
vs
Dwight Grant
11-6 · Switch
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Francisco Trinaldo def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
76"
47
Age
41
3.13
SLpM
3.29
45%
Str. Acc.
36%
2.67
SApM
2.66
60%
Str. Def.
60%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.61
60%
TD Def.
66%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Dwight Grant
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Dwight Grant
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Francisco Trinaldo
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Dwight Grant finishes 0% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
As the rating underdog 25% (1-3)
With a reach advantage 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.