predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Marvin Vettori
19-10-1 · Southpaw
vs
Paulo Costa
16-4 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Marvin Vettori def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
32
Age
35
4.74
SLpM
6.15
45%
Str. Acc.
59%
4.55
SApM
5.96
56%
Str. Def.
49%
1.41
TD Avg.
0.30
68%
TD Def.
77%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Marvin Vettori
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Marvin Vettori
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Paulo Costa
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Marvin Vettori finishes 0% · finished 0% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
In 5-round fights 50% (3-3)
Paulo Costa finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.