predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mariya Agapova
10-5 · Southpaw
vs
Sabina Mazo
9-4 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Mariya Agapova def.
SUB · R3 0:53
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
70"
29
Age
29
4.43
SLpM
6.10
54%
Str. Acc.
43%
3.62
SApM
4.35
52%
Str. Def.
57%
0.55
TD Avg.
0.65
45%
TD Def.
59%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Mariya Agapova
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Sabina Mazo
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Mariya Agapova
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mariya Agapova finishes 20% · finished 80% (5 fights)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
As the rating underdog 25% (1-3)
Sabina Mazo finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.