predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Matheus Nicolau
19-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Tim Elliott
22-14-1 · Southpaw
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Matheus Nicolau def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
66"
33
Age
39
3.31
SLpM
3.51
51%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.98
SApM
3.00
65%
Str. Def.
56%
1.22
TD Avg.
3.61
90%
TD Def.
59%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Matheus Nicolau
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Tim Elliott
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Matheus Nicolau finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Tim Elliott finishes 22% · finished 11% (9 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 75% (6-2)
When older than opponent 67% (6-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.