predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Randy Brown
20-8 · Orthodox
vs
Jared Gooden
23-10 · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Randy Brown def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
77"
35
Age
32
4.39
SLpM
4.40
47%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.35
SApM
6.74
53%
Str. Def.
45%
0.71
TD Avg.
0.91
74%
TD Def.
65%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jared Gooden
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Randy Brown
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Randy Brown
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Randy Brown finishes 23% · finished 23% (13 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (5-0)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (8-4)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
Jared Gooden finishes 29% · finished 0% (7 fights)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 20% (1-4)
When younger than opponent 17% (1-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.