predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Marina Rodriguez
17-6-2 · Orthodox
vs
Mackenzie Dern
16-5 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · APEX cage
Result
Marina Rodriguez def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
63"
39
Age
33
4.51
SLpM
3.47
46%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.01
SApM
3.93
55%
Str. Def.
51%
0.27
TD Avg.
0.93
61%
TD Def.
37%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Marina Rodriguez
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Marina Rodriguez finishes 18% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
In 5-round fights 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Mackenzie Dern finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 73% (8-3)
Giving up reach 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.