predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jamie Mullarkey
18-9 · Orthodox
vs
Devonte Smith
11-4 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Jamie Mullarkey def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:51
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
76"
31
Age
32
4.10
SLpM
4.55
46%
Str. Acc.
53%
4.28
SApM
3.91
54%
Str. Def.
49%
2.46
TD Avg.
0.35
70%
TD Def.
85%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Devonte Smith
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 17% · finished 42% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
Devonte Smith finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.