predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alexander Hernandez
18-9 · Orthodox
vs
Mike Breeden
11-6 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Alexander Hernandez def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:20
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
33
Age
37
4.23
SLpM
5.75
40%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.45
SApM
7.28
59%
Str. Def.
42%
1.05
TD Avg.
0.98
68%
TD Def.
67%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Hernandez finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (6-4)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Mike Breeden finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Giving up reach 0% (0-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.