predicted sports
← UFC 266
Dan Hooker
24-14 · Switch
vs
Nasrat Haqparast
18-6 · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Dan Hooker def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
72"
36
Age
30
4.82
SLpM
6.36
48%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.94
SApM
6.00
49%
Str. Def.
63%
0.68
TD Avg.
0.34
77%
TD Def.
86%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Nasrat Haqparast
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dan Hooker
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Nasrat Haqparast
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Dan Hooker finishes 10% · finished 50% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
Vs southpaws 50% (4-4)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 33% (3-6)
Nasrat Haqparast finishes 10% · finished 10% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.