predicted sports
← UFC 266
Valentina Shevchenko
26-4-1 · Southpaw
vs
Lauren Murphy
16-7 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight · Title
Result
Valentina Shevchenko def.
KO/TKO · R4 4:00
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
67"
38
Age
42
3.04
SLpM
3.94
52%
Str. Acc.
38%
2.00
SApM
5.19
63%
Str. Def.
56%
2.65
TD Avg.
1.09
76%
TD Def.
67%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Valentina Shevchenko
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Lauren Murphy
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Valentina Shevchenko
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Valentina Shevchenko finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In title fights 88% (7-1)
Lauren Murphy finishes 17% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
When older than opponent 50% (3-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.