predicted sports
← UFC 266
Alexander Volkanovski
28-4 · Orthodox
vs
Brian Ortega
16-5 (1 NC) · Switch
Featherweight · Title
Result
Alexander Volkanovski def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
69"
37
Age
35
5.99
SLpM
3.84
57%
Str. Acc.
37%
3.31
SApM
6.38
58%
Str. Def.
49%
1.63
TD Avg.
0.93
68%
TD Def.
54%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Brian Ortega
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Alexander Volkanovski
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Alexander Volkanovski
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 20% · finished 20% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
In title fights 70% (7-3)
Brian Ortega finishes 17% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.