predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Anthony Smith
38-22 · Orthodox
vs
Ryan Spann
24-11 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Anthony Smith def.
SUB · R1 3:47
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
79"
37
Age
34
3.19
SLpM
3.11
49%
Str. Acc.
39%
5.04
SApM
3.92
44%
Str. Def.
43%
0.44
TD Avg.
1.21
50%
TD Def.
59%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Ryan Spann
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Ryan Spann
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Ryan Spann
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Anthony Smith finishes 33% · finished 33% (12 fights)
In 5-round fights 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
Ryan Spann finishes 50% · finished 42% (12 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.