predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Julian Erosa
31-14 · Southpaw
vs
Charles Jourdain
18-8-1 · Switch
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Julian Erosa def.
SUB · R3 2:56
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
69"
36
Age
30
6.18
SLpM
5.36
48%
Str. Acc.
49%
6.31
SApM
4.11
48%
Str. Def.
56%
1.73
TD Avg.
0.38
61%
TD Def.
46%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Charles Jourdain
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Julian Erosa
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Charles Jourdain
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Julian Erosa finishes 46% · finished 31% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Charles Jourdain finishes 38% · finished 15% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (8-4)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.