predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5 · Southpaw
vs
Kevin Lee
18-8 · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Daniel Rodriguez def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
77"
39
Age
33
7.20
SLpM
3.88
49%
Str. Acc.
42%
5.40
SApM
3.60
57%
Str. Def.
50%
0.51
TD Avg.
3.18
64%
TD Def.
75%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kevin Lee
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Lee
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
Kevin Lee finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.