predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mark Madsen
12-2 · Orthodox
vs
Clay Guida
38-22 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Mark Madsen def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
41
Age
44
3.56
SLpM
2.63
49%
Str. Acc.
33%
3.97
SApM
3.00
52%
Str. Def.
61%
2.86
TD Avg.
3.10
62%
TD Def.
66%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mark Madsen
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Mark Madsen
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mark Madsen
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mark Madsen finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
Clay Guida finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.