predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Julian Erosa
31-14 · Southpaw
vs
Sean Woodson
13-2-1 · Orthodox
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Julian Erosa def.
SUB · R3 2:44
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
78"
36
Age
34
6.18
SLpM
5.57
48%
Str. Acc.
46%
6.31
SApM
4.18
48%
Str. Def.
58%
1.73
TD Avg.
0.58
61%
TD Def.
84%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Sean Woodson
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Sean Woodson
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Sean Woodson
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Julian Erosa finishes 46% · finished 31% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Sean Woodson finishes 25% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (5-0)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
With a reach advantage 75% (6-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.