predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jared Cannonier
18-9 · Switch
vs
Kelvin Gastelum
21-11 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Jared Cannonier def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
71"
42
Age
34
4.42
SLpM
3.65
49%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.35
SApM
3.52
56%
Str. Def.
57%
0.54
TD Avg.
1.04
64%
TD Def.
60%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kelvin Gastelum
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Jared Cannonier
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Jared Cannonier
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jared Cannonier finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)
Kelvin Gastelum finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 40% (4-6)
As the rating underdog 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.