predicted sports
← UFC 265
Jessica Penne
14-9 · Orthodox
vs
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
16-10 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Result
Jessica Penne def.
SUB · R1 4:32
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
64"
43
Age
40
2.63
SLpM
5.54
33%
Str. Acc.
42%
5.05
SApM
5.77
45%
Str. Def.
56%
1.29
TD Avg.
0.36
36%
TD Def.
74%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Karolina Kowalkiewicz
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Jessica Penne
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Karolina Kowalkiewicz
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
By the Numbers
Jessica Penne finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 40% (2-3)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.