predicted sports
← UFC 265
Vicente Luque
24-12-1 · Orthodox
vs
Michael Chiesa
20-7 · Southpaw
Welterweight
Result
Vicente Luque def.
SUB · R1 3:25
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
75"
34
Age
38
4.80
SLpM
2.02
50%
Str. Acc.
40%
5.24
SApM
1.73
51%
Str. Def.
57%
0.89
TD Avg.
3.11
59%
TD Def.
65%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Vicente Luque
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Vicente Luque
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Vicente Luque finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 60% (3-2)
Michael Chiesa finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.