predicted sports
← UFC 265
Ciryl Gane
14-2 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight · Title
Result
Ciryl Gane def.
KO/TKO · R3 4:11
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
79"
36
Age
41
5.40
SLpM
2.41
61%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.31
SApM
2.79
60%
Str. Def.
38%
0.66
TD Avg.
0.53
47%
TD Def.
51%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Ciryl Gane
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Ciryl Gane
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Ciryl Gane
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Ciryl Gane finishes 50% · finished 10% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (6-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (8-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.