predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mateusz Gamrot
26-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Jeremy Stephens
29-23 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Mateusz Gamrot def.
SUB · R1 1:05
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
35
Age
40
3.21
SLpM
3.13
51%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.81
SApM
3.25
60%
Str. Def.
57%
5.22
TD Avg.
1.10
83%
TD Def.
61%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jeremy Stephens
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 38% · finished 8% (13 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
When older than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Jeremy Stephens finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.