predicted sports
← UFC 264
Gilbert Burns
22-10 · Orthodox
vs
Stephen Thompson
17-9-1 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Gilbert Burns def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
75"
39
Age
43
3.16
SLpM
4.05
48%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.68
SApM
3.00
52%
Str. Def.
54%
2.04
TD Avg.
0.23
53%
TD Def.
63%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Gilbert Burns
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Stephen Thompson
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Gilbert Burns
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Gilbert Burns finishes 10% · finished 40% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 38% (3-5)
Giving up reach 30% (3-7)
As the rating underdog 22% (2-7)
Stephen Thompson finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.