predicted sports
← UFC 264
Dustin Poirier
30-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Conor McGregor
22-6 · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Dustin Poirier def.
KO/TKO · R1 5:00
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
37
Age
37
5.24
SLpM
5.32
50%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.57
SApM
4.66
52%
Str. Def.
54%
1.15
TD Avg.
0.67
64%
TD Def.
66%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Conor McGregor
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Dustin Poirier finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Conor McGregor finishes 0% · finished 100% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
Vs southpaws 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.