predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Francisco Trinaldo
28-9 · Southpaw
vs
Jai Herbert
14-6-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Francisco Trinaldo def.
KO/TKO · R3 1:30
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
77"
47
Age
38
3.13
SLpM
3.19
45%
Str. Acc.
41%
2.67
SApM
3.34
60%
Str. Def.
52%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.42
60%
TD Def.
66%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jai Herbert
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Francisco Trinaldo
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Jai Herbert finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.