predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jeremiah Wells
13-4-1 · Switch
vs
Warlley Alves
15-8 · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Jeremiah Wells def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:30
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
39
Age
35
2.35
SLpM
3.04
46%
Str. Acc.
48%
1.28
SApM
3.95
48%
Str. Def.
50%
3.06
TD Avg.
1.22
50%
TD Def.
62%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Warlley Alves
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Jeremiah Wells
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jeremiah Wells
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jeremiah Wells finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
Warlley Alves finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
As the rating underdog 25% (1-3)
Giving up reach 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.