predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Renato Moicano
21-7-1 · Orthodox
vs
Jai Herbert
14-6-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Renato Moicano def.
SUB · R2 4:34
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
77"
37
Age
38
4.10
SLpM
3.19
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.55
SApM
3.34
59%
Str. Def.
52%
1.68
TD Avg.
0.42
64%
TD Def.
66%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Renato Moicano
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Renato Moicano
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Renato Moicano finishes 55% · finished 18% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 71% (5-2)
Jai Herbert finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.