predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Josh Parisian
15-8 · Orthodox
vs
Roque Martinez
15-8-2 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Josh Parisian def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
72"
37
Age
40
4.55
SLpM
3.28
48%
Str. Acc.
53%
4.88
SApM
4.90
41%
Str. Def.
56%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.38
46%
TD Def.
53%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Josh Parisian
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Josh Parisian
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Josh Parisian
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Josh Parisian finishes 14% · finished 43% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (2-4)
Vs orthodox 29% (2-5)
Roque Martinez finishes 0% · finished 33% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.