predicted sports
← UFC 263
Paul Craig
17-10-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Jamahal Hill
12-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight
Result
Paul Craig def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:59
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
79"
38
Age
35
2.50
SLpM
6.19
45%
Str. Acc.
51%
3.04
SApM
4.03
43%
Str. Def.
44%
1.43
TD Avg.
0.00
35%
TD Def.
73%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Jamahal Hill
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Jamahal Hill
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Jamahal Hill
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Paul Craig finishes 45% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
Jamahal Hill finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (4-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.