predicted sports
← UFC 263
Leon Edwards
22-6 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Nate Diaz
22-13 · Southpaw
Welterweight
Result
Leon Edwards def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
76"
34
Age
41
2.60
SLpM
4.57
54%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.44
SApM
3.77
52%
Str. Def.
52%
1.25
TD Avg.
1.05
63%
TD Def.
41%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Leon Edwards
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Nate Diaz
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Leon Edwards
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Leon Edwards finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
In title fights 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.