predicted sports
← UFC 263
Israel Adesanya
24-6 · Switch
vs
Marvin Vettori
19-10-1 · Southpaw
Middleweight · Title
Result
Israel Adesanya def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
74"
36
Age
32
4.03
SLpM
4.74
48%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.22
SApM
4.55
55%
Str. Def.
56%
0.05
TD Avg.
1.41
76%
TD Def.
68%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Marvin Vettori
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Israel Adesanya
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Israel Adesanya
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Israel Adesanya finishes 18% · finished 36% (11 fights)
In title fights 56% (5-4)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (5-5)
With a reach advantage 45% (5-6)
Marvin Vettori finishes 0% · finished 0% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
In 5-round fights 50% (3-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.