predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alan Patrick
15-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Mason Jones
18-2 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
74"
42
Age
31
1.82
SLpM
5.98
40%
Str. Acc.
42%
2.95
SApM
4.45
43%
Str. Def.
50%
3.01
TD Avg.
3.48
43%
TD Def.
73%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mason Jones
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mason Jones
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alan Patrick finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)
Mason Jones finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.