predicted sports
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Carla Esparza
20-8 · Orthodox
vs
Marina Rodriguez
17-6-2 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Result
Carla Esparza def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
65"
38
Age
39
2.19
SLpM
4.51
39%
Str. Acc.
46%
2.87
SApM
3.01
54%
Str. Def.
55%
3.28
TD Avg.
0.27
47%
TD Def.
61%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Carla Esparza
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Marina Rodriguez
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Carla Esparza
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
By the Numbers
Carla Esparza finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Marina Rodriguez finishes 18% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
In 5-round fights 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.