predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Montana De La Rosa
13-9-1 · Orthodox
vs
Ariane da Silva
17-11 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Montana De La Rosa def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:27
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
67"
31
Age
32
2.90
SLpM
4.05
37%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.39
SApM
4.40
45%
Str. Def.
50%
1.85
TD Avg.
0.47
68%
TD Def.
68%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Montana De La Rosa
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Montana De La Rosa
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Ariane da Silva
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Montana De La Rosa finishes 17% · finished 17% (6 fights)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)
With a reach advantage 25% (1-3)
Ariane da Silva finishes 18% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 63% (5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.