predicted sports
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Santiago Ponzinibbio
31-9 · Orthodox
vs
Miguel Baeza
10-4 · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Santiago Ponzinibbio def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
74"
39
Age
33
4.78
SLpM
4.09
41%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.68
SApM
5.92
61%
Str. Def.
46%
0.60
TD Avg.
0.36
71%
TD Def.
54%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
2.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Miguel Baeza
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Miguel Baeza
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Santiago Ponzinibbio
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Santiago Ponzinibbio finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 43% (3-4)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)
Miguel Baeza finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.