predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Damir Ismagulov
24-3 · Orthodox
vs
Rafael Alves
20-12 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Damir Ismagulov def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
68"
35
Age
35
3.36
SLpM
1.85
42%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.44
SApM
3.30
61%
Str. Def.
58%
1.00
TD Avg.
0.29
70%
TD Def.
44%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Damir Ismagulov
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Damir Ismagulov
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Damir Ismagulov
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Damir Ismagulov finishes 0% · finished 0% (4 fights)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Rafael Alves finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.