predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Fabricio Werdum
24-9-1 · Orthodox
vs
Alexander Gustafsson
18-8 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Fabricio Werdum def.
SUB · R1 2:30
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
79"
48
Age
39
3.59
SLpM
4.03
52%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.64
SApM
3.53
55%
Str. Def.
51%
1.75
TD Avg.
1.53
31%
TD Def.
83%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Alexander Gustafsson
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Alexander Gustafsson
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Fabricio Werdum
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Gustafsson finishes 0% · finished 100% (2 fights)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.