predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Ben Rothwell
39-14 · Orthodox
vs
Chris Barnett
23-10 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Ben Rothwell def.
SUB · R2 2:07
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
75"
44
Age
40
3.71
SLpM
3.36
42%
Str. Acc.
47%
4.63
SApM
6.55
47%
Str. Def.
36%
0.68
TD Avg.
0.00
70%
TD Def.
35%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Chris Barnett
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Ben Rothwell
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Ben Rothwell
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Ben Rothwell finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Chris Barnett finishes 33% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.