predicted sports
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Carla Esparza
20-8 · Orthodox
vs
Yan Xiaonan
19-5 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · APEX cage
Result
Carla Esparza def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:58
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
63"
38
Age
37
2.19
SLpM
4.69
39%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.87
SApM
3.23
54%
Str. Def.
60%
3.28
TD Avg.
0.84
47%
TD Def.
64%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Yan Xiaonan
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Yan Xiaonan
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Carla Esparza finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Yan Xiaonan finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.