predicted sports
← UFC 262
Beneil Dariush
23-8-1 · Southpaw
vs
Tony Ferguson
26-11 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Beneil Dariush def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
76"
37
Age
42
3.74
SLpM
4.91
49%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.63
SApM
4.37
57%
Str. Def.
55%
2.21
TD Avg.
0.39
82%
TD Def.
66%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Beneil Dariush
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Tony Ferguson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Beneil Dariush
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Beneil Dariush finishes 11% · finished 44% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Tony Ferguson finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-7)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-6)
Vs southpaws 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.