predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Carlston Harris
19-8 · Orthodox
vs
Christian Aguilera
14-8 · Switch
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Carlston Harris def.
SUB · R1 2:52
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
72"
38
Age
34
3.34
SLpM
2.54
42%
Str. Acc.
37%
3.50
SApM
4.04
51%
Str. Def.
48%
1.13
TD Avg.
0.00
55%
TD Def.
60%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Christian Aguilera
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Carlston Harris
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Carlston Harris
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Carlston Harris finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 60% (3-2)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 50% (3-3)
Christian Aguilera finishes 0% · finished 100% (2 fights)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.