predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Neil Magny
31-15 · Orthodox
vs
Geoff Neal
16-8 · Southpaw
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Neil Magny def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
75"
38
Age
35
3.40
SLpM
5.02
46%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.44
SApM
5.50
51%
Str. Def.
57%
2.17
TD Avg.
0.54
55%
TD Def.
87%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Geoff Neal
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Neil Magny
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Neil Magny
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Neil Magny finishes 27% · finished 33% (15 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (6-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
Geoff Neal finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (3-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.