predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
TJ Brown
17-11 · Switch
vs
Kai Kamaka III
18-7-1 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
TJ Brown def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
69"
36
Age
31
3.37
SLpM
5.40
44%
Str. Acc.
59%
2.89
SApM
5.67
49%
Str. Def.
56%
3.41
TD Avg.
1.51
36%
TD Def.
55%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Kai Kamaka III
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge TJ Brown
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Kai Kamaka III
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
TJ Brown finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (3-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
Kai Kamaka III finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.