← UFC 261
Lightweight
Result
Kazula Vargas def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
70"
40
Age
26
3.65
SLpM
6.05
53%
Str. Acc.
51%
1.77
SApM
5.38
57%
Str. Def.
53%
0.40
TD Avg.
1.34
30%
TD Def.
84%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Rongzhu
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Kazula Vargas
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rongzhu
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Kazula Vargas
finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent
50%
(1-1)
As the rating underdog
50%
(1-1)
Vs orthodox
50%
(1-1)
Rongzhu
finishes 17% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(3-3)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
Giving up reach
50%
(3-3)
As the rating underdog
40%
(2-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.