predicted sports
← UFC 261
Pat Sabatini
22-5 · Orthodox
vs
Tristan Connelly
14-8 · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Pat Sabatini def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
35
Age
40
1.69
SLpM
3.31
54%
Str. Acc.
51%
1.16
SApM
2.96
54%
Str. Def.
50%
4.27
TD Avg.
0.33
50%
TD Def.
60%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Pat Sabatini
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Pat Sabatini
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Pat Sabatini
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Pat Sabatini finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Tristan Connelly finishes 0% · finished 0% (2 fights)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.