predicted sports
← UFC 261
Randy Brown
20-8 · Orthodox
vs
Alex Oliveira
22-12-1 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Randy Brown def.
SUB · R1 2:50
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
76"
35
Age
38
4.39
SLpM
2.99
47%
Str. Acc.
51%
3.35
SApM
2.55
53%
Str. Def.
46%
0.71
TD Avg.
2.35
74%
TD Def.
63%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Randy Brown
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Randy Brown
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Randy Brown
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Randy Brown finishes 23% · finished 23% (13 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (5-0)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (8-4)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
Alex Oliveira finishes 0% · finished 60% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 0% (0-4)
As the rating favorite 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.