predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Robert Whittaker
27-9 · Orthodox
vs
Kelvin Gastelum
21-11 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Robert Whittaker def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
71"
35
Age
34
4.39
SLpM
3.65
43%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.36
SApM
3.52
59%
Str. Def.
57%
0.73
TD Avg.
1.04
82%
TD Def.
60%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kelvin Gastelum
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Robert Whittaker
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Robert Whittaker
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Robert Whittaker finishes 10% · finished 20% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 80% (4-1)
When older than opponent 71% (5-2)
Kelvin Gastelum finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 40% (4-6)
As the rating underdog 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.