predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Joe Solecki
13-6 · Orthodox
vs
Jim Miller
39-19 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Joe Solecki def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
32
Age
42
1.97
SLpM
2.92
53%
Str. Acc.
42%
1.85
SApM
3.43
50%
Str. Def.
56%
2.06
TD Avg.
1.49
14%
TD Def.
47%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
1.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Joe Solecki
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jim Miller
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jim Miller
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Joe Solecki finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
Jim Miller finishes 58% · finished 0% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When older than opponent 60% (6-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.